Market conditions
The group’s strategy is focused on
lending responsibly and maintaining
the flow of small-sum unsecured credit
to non-standard consumers who are
typically less able to access credit from
other lenders and may otherwise face
financial exclusion.
Household incomes in those segments of
the non-standard lending market served
by the group’s businesses have been and
remain under pressure from the impact
of rising unemployment and, more
importantly, under-employment resulting
from restrictions on working hours and
wage rates.
Management have carefully positioned
the group’s businesses since the middle
of 2007 in anticipation of a material
deterioration in the economic
environment. Underwriting standards have
been progressively tightened to maintain
credit quality which, together with the
investments made to enhance collections
capacity, have been successful in
mitigating the impact of the deteriorating
economic environment on the group’s
impairment charge.
The group’s planning assumptions do not
anticipate that employment conditions
will improve for some time. Accordingly,
a tight stance to underwriting will be
maintained throughout 2010.
During the second half of 2009, there
was an increase in the level of caution
exhibited by some consumers who are
experiencing pressure on their household
incomes and face uncertainty over their
future prospects. This increased caution,
exacerbated by adverse weather
conditions in the run-up to Christmas,
tempered the demand for credit from
established home credit customers during
the peak fourth quarter trading period.
Cautious consumer behaviour is expected
to persist through 2010, resulting in
relatively modest growth in receivables.
As a result, there will be a strong focus on
cost efficiency.
The competitive landscape for home credit
providers has remained largely unchanged
throughout the economic downturn.
Whilst Provident Financial continues to
be the largest operator in this segment,
there are some 500 other home credit
businesses that compete actively, many of
whom operate in a single town or region.
In contrast, most businesses which
operated in the direct repayment or credit
card segment of the UK non-standard
lending market have either failed,
withdrawn or restructured. This presents
a strong market opportunity for Vanquis
Bank as an established participant in the
non-standard credit card market. At
present, the direct repayment unsecured
lending market has become dislocated by
the collapse of the primary broker
distribution channel and it is apparent
from the market test of Real Personal
Finance that many potential customers are
carrying far too much debt. Accordingly,
direct repayment loans will be restricted
to customers already known through the
home credit branch network.
Regulation
The group is assisting with the Office
of Fair Trading’s review of the £35bn
high-cost consumer credit market which
it announced in July 2009. The review,
which covers a broad range of lending
activities of which home credit represents
less than 5%, published its interim
findings in December 2009 and is
expected to conclude in April 2010.
The EU Directive on Consumer Credit
has to be implemented in the UK by
31 January 2011. The regulations are still
in draft form but the group has already
commenced work to ensure it is able to
comply with the new requirements by
the implementation date.
The Department for Business Innovation
and Skills is nearing its conclusion of the
consultation on the future regulation of
credit and store cards. The measures being
debated centre upon transparency and
putting the customer in control. Vanquis
Bank is working closely with the UK Cards
Association which is leading the industry’s
response to the consultation.
Outlook
The group has reported a solid performance
in 2009 against the backdrop of pressure
on customers’ household budgets from
rising unemployment and reduced working
hours. The group’s plans assume that
these conditions will continue during 2010
and credit standards will be maintained to
underpin the quality of new lending.
In 2010, the Consumer Credit Division is
planning for relatively low receivables
growth coupled with tight cost control.
Accordingly, the business has recently
implemented an efficiency programme
across its central functions whilst leaving
field collections and arrears management
capacity unaffected. In addition, following
the completion of the market test of Real
Personal Finance, the decision has been
made to focus direct repayment lending
solely on known prospects sourced
through the home credit business. This will
result in a significant overhead reduction
and losses will not continue through 2010.
Vanquis Bank is generating excellent
growth and strong returns which leave
it well placed to achieve its target of a
30% post-tax return on equity by the
end of 2010.
Overall, the group’s balance sheet and
liquidity are extremely sound and it has
positioned itself to deliver good quality
growth for 2010 in market conditions that
are unlikely to improve in the near term.
John van Kuffeler
Chairman
2 March 2010